Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011
Geophysical Research Letters 42:7 (2015) 2392-2400
Abstract:
The impact of anthropogenic forcing on the probability of high mean summer temperatures being exceeded in Texas in the year 2011 was investigated using an atmospheric circulation model to simulate large ensembles of the world with 2011 level forcing and 5 "counterfactual" worlds under preindustrial forcing. In Texas, drought is a strong control on summer temperature, so an increased frequency in large precipitation deficits and/or soil moisture deficits that may result from anthropogenic forcing could magnify the regional footprint of global warming. However, no simulated increase in the frequency of large precipitation deficits, or of soil moisture deficits, was detected from preindustrial to year 2011 conditions. Despite the lack of enhancement to warming via these potential changes in the hydrological cycle, the likelihood of a given unusually high summer temperature being exceeded was simulated to be about 10 times greater due to anthropogenic emissions.The contribution of human-induced climate change to the drought of 2014 in the southern Levant region
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society American Meteorological Society 96:12 (2015) S66-S70
Abstract:
A combined modeling and observational study suggests that the persistent rainfall deficit during the 2014 rainy season in southern Levant was made more likely due to anthropogenic climate change.Correcting precipitation feature location in general circulation models
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres American Geophysical Union (AGU) 119:23 (2014) 13-369
Increasing the detectability of external influence on precipitation by correcting feature location in GCMs
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres American Geophysical Union (AGU) 119:22 (2014) 12-478
Characterizing loss and damage from climate change
Nature Climate Change Springer Nature 4:11 (2014) 938-939