Sensitivity of the Hyper-Kamiokande experiment to neutrino oscillation parameters using accelerator neutrinos

European Physical Journal C Springer Nature 86:2 (2026) 170

Authors:

K Abe, MT Afif, R Ahl Laamara, H Aihara, A Ajmi, R Akutsu, H Alarakia-Charles, I Alekseev, Y Alj Hakim, S Alonso Monsalve, E Amato, F Ameli, L Anthony, A Araya, A Arguello Quiroga, S Arimoto, Y Asaoka, Y Ashida, V Aushev, F Ballester Merelo, M Barbi, G Barr, M Batkiewicz-Kwasniak, A Beauchêne, D Benchekroun, V Berardi, E Bernardini, L Berns, S Bhadra, N Bhuiyan, J Bian, D Bianco, A Blanchet, A Blondel, PMM Boistier, S Bolognesi, L Bonavera, José L Bonilla, S Bordoni, D Bose, S Boyd, C Bozza, A Bravar, C Bronner, A Bubak, A Buchowicz, M Buizza Avanzini, G Burton, FS Cafagna, NF Calabria, JM Calvo Mozota, S Cao, D Carabadjac, S Cartwright, MP Casado, MG Catanesi, C Cavanagh, S Cebrián, EM Chakir, S Chakrabarty, JH Choi, A Choquet, S Choubey, EA Chucuan Martinez, L Chytka, M Cicerchia, L Cid Barrio, M Cieślar, J Coleman, G Collazuol, L Cook, F Cormier, D Costas-Rodríguez, A Craplet, S Cuen-Rochin, C Dalmazzone, M Danilov, M Daoud, T Daret, FJ De Cos, E de la Fuente, A De Lorenzis, G De Rosa, T Dealtry, M Della Valle, C Densham, A Dergacheva, MM Devi, F Di Lodovico, A Di Nitto, A Di Nola, G Díaz López, TC Dieminger, D Divecha, M Dobrzynska, T Dohnal, T Doyle, E Drakopoulou, O Drapier, C Duarte Galvan, J Dumarchez, K Dygnarowicz, S Earle, A Eguchi, A El Abassi, M El Baz, A El Kaftaoui, J Ellis, R Elmansali, S Emery, R Er-Rabit, A Ershova, A Esmaili, R Esteve Bosch, G Eurin, CE Falcón Anaya, LE Falcon Morales, J Fannon, S Fedotov, M Feltre, J Feng, D Ferlewicz, P Fernández-Menéndez, E Fernández-Martinez, P Ferrario, B Ferrazzi, A Finch, C Finley, GA Fiorentini Aguirre, M Fitton, M Franks, M Friend, Y Fujii, Y Fukuda, L Fusco, R Gaior, G Galiński, R Gamboa Goñi, J Gao, F Garcia Riesgo, C Garde, R Gaur, L Gialanella, C Giganti, V Gligorov, O Gogota, M Gola, A Goldsack, JJ Gomez-Cadenas, M Gonin, J González-Nuevo, A Gorin, R Gornea, S Goto, M Gouighri, J Gracia Rodriguez, K Graham, F Gramegna, M Grassi, H Griguer, M Guigue, D Hadley, A Hambardzumyan, M Harada, RJ Harris, M Hartz, E Harvey-Fishenden, S Hassani, NC Hastings, S Hayashida, Y Hayato, K Hayrapetyan, I Heitkamp, B Hernandez-Molinero, JA Hernando Morata, V Herrero Bosch, Y Hino, K Hiraide, J Holeczek, A Holin, S Horiuchi, K Hoshina, K Hosokawa, A Hoummada, F Hrub y, H Hua, K Hultqvist, F Iacob, AK Ichikawa, W Idrissi Ibnsalih, K Ieki, M Ikeda, AS Inácio, A Ioannisian, T Ishida, K Ishidoshiro, H Ishino, M Ishitsuka, H Israel, H Ito, Y Itow, A Izmaylov, S Izumiyama, B Jamieson, J Jang, S Jenkins, C Jesús-Valls, HS Jo, TP Jones, P Jonsson, KK Joo, S Joshi, T Kajita, H Kakuno, L Kalousis, J Kameda, Y Kano, D Karlen, Y Kataoka, A Kato, T Katori, N Kazarian, M Khabibullin, A Khotjantsev, T Kikawa, JY Kim, S King, J Kisiel, J Klimaszewski, L Kneale, M Kobayashi, T Kobayashi, S Kodama, L Koerich, N Kolev, H Komaba, A Konaka, L Kormos, U Kose, Y Koshio, T Kosinski, K Kouzakov, K Kowalik, R Kralik, L Kravchuk, A Kryukov, Y Kudenko, A Kulkarni, T Kumita, R Kurjata, T Kutter, M Kuze, J Kvita, K Kwak, E Kwon, L Labarga, K Lachner, J Lagoda, G Lamanna, M Lamers James, A Langella, J Laporte, N Latham, M Laveder, L Lavitola, M Lawe, E Le Blévec, J Lee, R Leitner, S Levorato, S Lewis, B Li, Q Li, X Li, I Lim, U Limbu, T Lindner, RP Litchfield, Y Liu, K Long, A Longhin, F López-Gejo, A Lopez Moreno, P Lorens, P Lu, X Lu, L Ludovici, T Lux, Y Maekawa, L Magaletti, J Mahesh, P Maimí, Y Makida, M Malek, M Malinský, M Mandal, Y Mandokoro, M Mansoor, T Marchi, C Mariani, A Marinelli, C Markou, F Maroufkhani, K Martens, L Marti, J Martin, L Martinez, M Martini, J Marzec, T Matsubara, R Matsumoto, M Matusiak, K Mazurek, N McCauley, A Medhi, A Mefodiev, P Mehta, WJD Melbourne, L Mellet, D Mendez-Esteban, J Menendez Maco, H Menjo, GD Mese Zavala, M Mezzetto, J Migenda, P Migliozzi, S Miki, V Mikola, E Miller, A Minamino, S Mine, O Mineev, M Miura, R Moharana, CM Mollo, T Mondal, F Monrabal, CS Moon, DH Moon, FJ Mora Mas, L Morescalchi, S Moriyama, Th A Mueller, T Nakadaira, K Nakagiri, M Nakahata, S Nakai, Y Nakajima, K Nakamura, KD Nakamura, Y Nakano, T Nakaya, S Nakayama, L Nascimento Machado, C Naseby, WH Ng, K Niewczas, K Ninomiya, S Nishimori, Y Nishimura, Y Noguchi, T Nosek, F Nova, L Nožka, JC Nugent, H Nunokawa, M Nurek, E O’Connor, M O’Flaherty, HM O’Keeffe, E O’Sullivan, W Obrębski, P Ochoa-Ricoux, T Ogitsu, R Okazaki, K Okumura, N Onda, F Orozco-Luna, N Ospina, M Ostrowski, N Otani, Y Oyama, MY Pac, P Paganini, J Palacio, M Pari, J Park, J Pasternak, C Pastore, G Pastuszak, C Pate, M Pavin, D Payne, J Pelegrin Mosquera, C Peña-Garay, P de Perio, L Périssé, J Pinzino, B Piotrowski, S Playfer, B Pointon, E Ponticelli, A Popov, B Popov, M Posiadala-Zezula, G Pronost, NW Prouse, C Quach, B Quilain, E Radicioni, P Rajda, E Ramos Cascón, R Ramsden, J Renner, M Rescigno, G Ricciardi, B Richards, K Richards, DW Riley, J Rimmer, S Rodriguez Cabo, R Rogly, E Roig-Tormo, MF Romo-Fuentes, E Rondio, B Roskovec, S Roth, C Rott, A Rubbia, AC Ruggeri, S Russo, A Rychter, D Ryu, W Saenz, K Sakashita, S Samani, F Sánchez, ML Sánchez Rodríguez, E Sandford, A Santos, JD Santos Rodríguez, A Sarker, P Sarmah, K Sato, Y Sato, C Schloesser, M Scott, Y Seiya, T Sekiguchi, H Sekiya, JW Seo, D Sgalaberna, I Shimizu, K Shimizu, CD Shin, M Shinoki, M Shiozawa, A Shvartsman, A Simonelli, N Skrobova, K Skwarczynski, Benjamin R Smithers, M Smy, J Sobczyk, HW Sobel, FJP Soler, MS Sozzi, R Spina, B Spisso, P Spradlin, K Stankevich, D Stavropoulos, L Stawarz, P Stowell, A Studenikin, SL Suárez Gómez, M Suchenek, Sunanda, Y Suwa, A Suzuki, SY Suzuki, Y Suzuki, D Svirida, M Tada, S Taghayor, A Takeda, Y Takemoto, A Taketa, Y Takeuchi, V Takhistov, H Tanaka, HKM Tanaka, M Tanaka, H Tanigawa, T Tashiro, K Terada, M Thiesse, E Thrane, D Tiwari, JF Toledo Alarcón, AK Tomatani Sánchez, T Tomiya, N Tran, J Tseng, R Tsuchii, KM Tsui, T Tsukamoto, T Tsushima, M Tzanov, Y Uchida, S Urano, P Urquijo, M Vagins, S Valder, O Vallmajó, G Vasseur, B Vinning, U Virginet, D Vivolo, T Vladisavljevic, R Vogelaar, M Vyalkov, T Wachala, D Wark, R Wendell, JR Wilson, S Wilson, M Wojciechowski, S Wronka, J Wuethrich, J Xia, Z Xie, Y Yamaguchi, K Yamamoto, M Yamashita, K Yamauchi, BS Yang, T Yano, N Yershov, U Yevarouskaya, M Yokoyama, J Yoo, T Yoshida, Y Yoshimoto, Y Yoshioka, S Yousefnejad, I Yu, T Yu, O Yuriy, B Zaldivar, J Zalipska, K Zaremba, G Zarnecki, X Zhao, H Zhong, T Zhu, M Ziembicki, K Zietara, M Zito, S Zsoldos

Abstract:

This paper presents the expected sensitivity to the neutrino oscillation parameters of the Hyper-Kamiokande long-baseline program. The Hyper-Kamiokande experiment, currently under construction in Japan, will measure the oscillations of accelerator-produced neutrinos with thousands of selected events per sample: this corresponds to an increase of statistics of a factor 25–100 with respect to recent results from the currently-running long-baseline neutrino oscillation experiment in Japan, T2K. In the most favorable scenario we will achieve the discovery of Charge-Parity (CP) violation in neutrino oscillation at 5σ$$5\sigma $$ C.L. in less than 3 years. With 10 years of data-taking, and assuming a neutrino : antineutrino beam running ratio of 1:3, a CP violation discovery at 5σ$$5\sigma $$ C.L. is possible for more than 60% of the actual values of the CP-violating phase, δCP.$$\delta _{CP}.$$ Moreover, we will measure δCP$$\delta _{CP}$$ with a precision ranging from 20∘,$$^{\circ },$$ in the case of maximal CP violation, to 6∘,$$^{\circ },$$ in the case of CP conservation. We aim to achieve a 0.5% resolution on the Δm322$$\Delta m^2_{32}$$ parameter, and a resolution between 3% and 0.5% on the sin2θ23$$\sin ^2\theta _{23}$$ parameter, depending on its true value. These results are obtained by extending the analysis methods of T2K with dedicated tuning to take into account the Hyper-Kamiokande design: the larger far detector, the more powerful beam, the upgraded near detector ND280, and the planned additional Intermediate Water Cherenkov Detector.

Systematics mitigation for catalogue-based angular power spectra

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 91̽»¨ University Press 547:2 (2026) stag360

Authors:

Thomas Cornish, David Alonso, Boris Leistedt, Kevin Wolz

Abstract:

Recent work has developed a formalism for computing angular power spectra directly from catalogues containing field values at discrete positions on the sky, thereby circumventing the need to create pixelized maps of the fields, as well as avoiding aliasing and finite-resolution effects. We adapt this formalism to incorporate template deprojection for mitigating systematic biases in the measured angular power spectra. We also introduce an alternative method of mitigating the ‘deprojection bias’ – the loss of modes induced by deprojection – employing simple simulations to compute a transfer function. We find that this approach performs at least as well as existing methods, and is relatively insensitive to how well one can guess the true power spectrum of the observed field, except at the largest scales (). Additionally, we develop exact expressions for the bias introduced by deprojection in the shot-noise component, which further improves the accuracy of this approach. We test our formalism on simulated data sets, demonstrating its applicability both to discretely sampled fields, and to the special case of galaxy clustering, with the survey selection function defined in terms of a random catalogue or as a continuous sky map. After removing the bias in the shot noise and correcting for the remaining mode loss using a transfer function, our formalism produces unbiased measurements of the angular power spectrum in all scenarios tested here. Finally, we apply our formalism to real data and show it produces results consistent with the standard map-based pseudo- formalism. We implement our method in the public code NaMaster.

A JWST Paα Calibration of the Radio Luminosity–Star Formation Rate Relation at z ∼ 1.3

The Astrophysical Journal American Astronomical Society 998:2 (2026) 306

Authors:

Nick Seymour, Catherine Hale, Imogen Whittam, Pascal Oesch, Alba Covelo-Paz, Stijn Wuyts, J Afonso, RAA Bowler, Joe Arthur Grundy, Ravi Jaiswar, Matt Jarvis, Allison Matthews, Romain A Meyer, Chloe Neufeld, Naveen A Reddy, Irene Shivaei, Dan Smith, Rohan Varadaraj, Michael A Wozniak, Lyla Jung

Abstract:

As radio emission from normal galaxies is a dust-free tracer of star formation, tracing the star formation history of the Universe is a key goal of the Square Kilometre Array and the Next-Generation Very Large Array. In order to investigate how well radio luminosity traces star formation rate (SFR) in the early Universe, we have examined the radio properties of a JWST Paα sample of galaxies at 1.0 ≲ z ≲ 1.8. In the GOODS-S field, we cross-matched a sample of 506 FRESCO Paα emitters with the 1.23 GHz radio continuum data from the MeerKAT MIGHTEE survey, finding 47 detections. After filtering for active galactic nuclei (via X-ray detections, hot mid-infrared dust, and extended radio emission), as well as blended sources, we obtained a sample of star-forming galaxies comprising 11 cataloged radio detections, 18 noncataloged detections (at ≈3σ–5σ), and 298 undetected sources. Stacking the 298 undetected sources, we obtain a 3.3σ detection in the radio. This sample, along with a local sample of Paα emitters, lies along previous radio luminosity/SFR relations from local (<0.2) to high redshift (z ∼ 1). Fitting the FRESCO data at 1.0 ≲ z ≲ 1.8, we find log(L1.4GHz)= (1.31 ± 0.17) × log(SFRPaα)+ (21.36 ± 0.17), which is consistent with other literature relations. We can explain some of the observed scatter in the L1.4GHz/SFRPaα correlation by a toy model in which the synchrotron emission is a delayed/averaged tracer of the instantaneous Paα SFR by ∼10/75 Myr.

Constraints on primordial non-Gaussianity from Quaia

Journal of Cosmology and Astroparticle Physics IOP Publishing 2026:02 (2026) 056

Authors:

Giulio Fabbian, David Alonso, Kate Storey-Fisher, Thomas Cornish

Abstract:

We analyse the large-scale angular clustering of quasars in the Gaia-unWISE quasar catalog, Quaia, and their cross-correlation with maps of the lensing convergence of the Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB), to constrain the level of primordial non-Gaussianity (PNG). Specifically, we target the scale-dependent bias that would be induced by PNG on biased tracers of the matter inhomogeneities on large scales. The Quaia sample is particularly well suited for this analysis, given the large effective volume covered, and our ability to map out the main potential sources of systematic contamination and mitigate their impact. Using the universality relation to characterise the response of the quasar overdensity to PNG (pϕ = 1), we report constraints on the local-type PNG parameter f NL of f NL = -20.5+19.0 -18.1 (68% C.L.) by combining the quasar auto-correlation and its cross-correlation with CMB lensing in two tomographic redshift bins (or f NL = -28.7+26.1 -24.6 if assuming a lower response for quasars, pϕ = 1.6). The error on f NL can be further improved if the cross-correlation between the tomographic redshift bins is included. Using the CMB lensing cross-correlations alone, we find fNL = -13.8+26.7 -25.0 and fNL = -15.6+42.3 -34.8 for pϕ = 1 and pϕ = 1.6 respectively. These are the tightest constraints on fNL to date from angular clustering statistics and cross-correlations with CMB lensing.

Deblending the MIGHTEE-COSMOS survey with XID+: the resolved radio source counts to S 1.4 ≈ 5μJy

Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society 91̽»¨ University Press 547:2 (2026) stag285

Authors:

Eliab Malefahlo, Matt J Jarvis, Mario G Santos, Catherine Cress, Daniel JB Smith, Catherine Hale, José Afonso, Imogen H Whittam, Mattia Vaccari, Ian Heywood, Shuowen Jin, Fangxia An

Abstract:

Deep radio continuum surveys provide fundamental constraints on galaxy evolution, but source confusion limits sensitivity to the faintest sources. We present a complete framework for producing high-fidelity deblended radio catalogues from the confused MIGHTEE maps using the probabilistic deblending framework XID+ and prior positions from deep multi-wavelength data in the COSMOS field. To assess performance, we construct MIGHTEE-like simulations based on the Tiered Radio Extragalactic Continuum Simulation radio source population, ensuring a realistic distribution of star-forming galaxies and active galactic nuclei for validation. Through these simulations, we show that prior catalogue purity is the dominant factor controlling deblending accuracy: a high-purity prior, containing only sources with a high likelihood of radio detection, recovers accurate flux densities and reproduces input source counts down to (where thermal noise). On the other hand, a complete prior overestimates the source counts due to spurious detections. Our optimal strategy combines the high-purity prior with a mask that removes sources detected above Jy. Applied to the 1.3 deg area of the MIGHTEE-COSMOS field defined by overlapping multi-wavelength data, this procedure yields a deblended catalogue of 89 562 sources. The derived 1.4 GHz source counts agree with independent P(D) analyses and indicate that we resolve the radio background to Jy. We also define a recommended high-fidelity sample of 20 757 sources, based on detection significance, flux density, and goodness-of-fit, which provides reliable flux densities for individual sources in the confusion-limited regime.